Oversaturation Index

Measures labor supply pressure (0-100, higher = more saturated). Identifies potentially crowded career paths using wage, openings, entry barrier, and search trend signals.

Components

Wage Stagnation

35%

3-year real wage growth, z-scored against all occupations. Stagnant or declining wages suggest oversupply.

Projected Openings Pressure

30%

BLS annual openings (growth + replacement) divided by current employment. Lower ratios indicate fewer opportunities relative to workforce size.

Entry Friction

20%

O*NET Job Zone (1-5) as a barrier-to-entry proxy. Lower zones (easier entry) correlate with higher saturation risk.

Trends Momentum

15%

Google Trends search interest as a supply-side momentum proxy. Feature-flagged; defaults to neutral (50) when unavailable.

Data Sources

BLS OEWSBLS Employment ProjectionsO*NET Job ZonesGoogle Trends (optional)

Limitations

•JOLTS data is industry-level only and not used for occupation-level saturation.
•Google Trends signal is a proxy for interest, not direct measurement of labor supply.
•Entry friction proxy (Job Zone) does not capture all barriers such as licensing or geographic constraints.

reskilled.info provides signal-based career intelligence, not personalized career advice. All scores are scenario-based outlooks with inherent uncertainty.